WEEK 18 · Mon 18 Jan → Sun 24 Jan 2027

Paper 2 full draft

600 minutes max9 deliverables paper-2-hybrid-softsensor
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UNDERSTAND · PRACTICE · KEEP EVIDENCE

Your full learning notebook

Read the week in plain language, refresh the foundations, follow each challenge step by step, and check what evidence to keep. Includes worked examples, answer keys and prompts for visual study resources.

Use this within your existing weekly blocks. Your learning completion and research evidence remain in your current tracker and week files.

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START HERE · 2 MINUTES

What am I doing right now?

If you only complete one thing: Results section.
✓

STATUS

Tracker & deliverables

DeliverableAcceptanceState
paper-2-introduction.md
Build create +
Write problem, prior hybrid/soft-sensor benchmarks and the exact contribution with verified references. Acceptance: The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark.
paper-2-methods-results.md
Build create +
Write methods and results from the frozen experiment matrix including null or adverse comparisons. Acceptance: Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results.
paper-2-review-package.md
Build create +
Write limitations and reproducibility statement; apply the research checklist and schedule the human review. Acceptance: Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete.
study-notes.md
Learning create +
Selected exact free resources; bounded lesson/exercise; separate solution; quiz and grading rubric; Peter's answers and gaps when executed
founder-paper.md
Founder papers create +
Verified source and P11 digest; authentic question and connection sentence; access limitations
branding-pack.md
Branding create +
Wednesday note, Sunday build log, X adaptation, figure/caption/alt text and the week's special asset; each claim linked to real proof
opportunity-actions.md
Opportunities create +
Qualified target/role, source/date, ladder stage, next action, message/interview/proposal draft and actual status
evidence.md
Evidence & review open & edit ↗
Actual paths/URLs, versions, checks/metrics, preparation versus execution state and external receipts when applicable
review.md
Evidence & review open & edit ↗
Checklist, learning assessment, gate status, shortfalls, next actions and carryover
Notes on artifact states

These filenames are outputs to prepare during this week's execution; this scaffold does not claim they already exist. Drafts and measured results have different states. Technical code/data stay in the canonical project repository and are referenced from these coordinating files.

During preparation, future measured tables get column definitions, input requirements and run instructions with PENDING status. During execution, replace pending values only with measured outputs. Do not create realistic-looking fake evidence.

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600 MINUTES MAXIMUM

Seven-day plan

Monday90 min

Target. Write problem, prior hybrid/soft-sensor benchmarks and the exact contribution with verified references. Stop when: The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark.

No material for Monday — this is a pure build day. Need something to study instead? →

Tuesday90 min· 1 card, 75 min

Target. Two founder papers (Puna Bio, Antarka, APEXzymes authors) via Prompt P11 Produce: Outreach lines drafted

Do these in this order — the plan's own sequence:

  1. Watch Two founder or scientific-lead papers from extremophile-focused GridX companies (Puna Bio, Antar… 75 min find ↗
Wednesday90 min

Target. Write methods and results from the frozen experiment matrix including null or adverse comparisons. Stop when: Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results. Reserve the last 10 minutes for the optional Wednesday note.

No material for Wednesday — this is a pure build day. Need something to study instead? →

Thursday90 min· 1 card, 60 min

Target. Simon Peyton Jones, "How to write a great research paper" (YouTube, 1 h); NeurIPS paper checklist (neurips.cc) Select material/exercise that fits 60 minutes; use the last 30 for the founder paper.

Do these in this order — the plan's own sequence:

  1. Watch Simon Peyton Jones, "How to write a great research paper" 60 min find ↗
Friday90 min

Target. Write limitations and reproducibility statement; apply the research checklist and schedule the human review. Stop when: Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete.

No material for Friday — this is a pure build day. Need something to study instead? →

Saturday90 min

Target. Resolve the earliest critical spillover or dependency. Prepare any long-form publication draft from existing figures here if needed. Sandbox only after commitments are met.

Optional, only if the day went well:

  1. Read Coursera Writing in the Sciences (Stanford), module "Writing the results and discussion" Saturday sandbox · 30 min? find ↗
  2. Read Kapoor & Narayanan Saturday sandbox · 30 min? · after Coursera Writing in the Sciences (Stanford), module "Writing the results and discussion" find ↗
  3. Read Rothschild & Mancinelli (2001), "Life in extreme environments" Saturday sandbox · 30 min? · after Kapoor & Narayanan find ↗
  4. Watch Stanford CS197, lecture on "writing the paper" Saturday sandbox · 15 min? · after Rothschild & Mancinelli (2001), "Life in extreme environments" find ↗
Sunday60 min

Target. 20 min build-log draft/publication when authorized; 5 min evidence/checklist; 20 min source-grounded gap review; 15 min next week's six physical actions.

No material for Sunday — this is a pure build day. Need something to study instead? →

Any time this week4 cards, 120 min · the plan names no day for these

Spare pockets, repo exercises and anything the plan lists without a day. Take them in this order when a day finishes early.

  1. Run quarto-dev/quarto-cli 30 min open ↗
  2. Run lukasmasuch/best-of-ml-python 30 min open ↗
  3. Run google-research/tuning_playbook 30 min open ↗
  4. Run paper-2-hybrid-softsensor (your repo) 30 min find ↗
Block ritual: read your next action → start the 90-min timer → open one file. Close: write tomorrow's action and one log line.
Feels pointless? Does today's Done when need it? No → skip it and log it. Yes → let AI do the boring part, you review. Still stuck → the smallest version in 25 minutes. Pulled into a rabbit hole? Write it in Parked thoughts and save it for Saturday.

The model must turn these into exact physical actions using the observed files and available inputs. Each 90-minute block includes start/stop rituals. All calls, posts, debugging, reading and exercises consume this same capacity.

The source lists more material than necessarily fits. Select exact excerpts for the learning objective and park the remainder; no full-course completion requirement.

◎

WHAT TO WATCH, READ AND RUN

Materials for this week

The second time you do anything hard, it is a different activity. Paper 1 taught you the shape of a paper; Paper 2 is where you learn the voice. A modeling paper is read by sceptical engineers who have seen a hundred "our model beats the baseline" claims, so the voice must be calm, precise and generous with limitations: simulated data, one process, no real plant. That honesty is not a weakness; it is what makes the …

0 of 10 finished · give me one to start now → · open in the deck →

In the plan's running order: each card says which block it belongs to and what has to come before it. The seven-day plan lists the same cards under the day that owns them.

Tuesday 1 · 75 min total

1/10 Watch 75 min W18 Tuesday Biology

Two founder or scientific-lead papers from extremophile-focused GridX companies (Puna Bio, Antar…

Two founder or scientific-lead papers from extremophile-focused GridX companies (Puna Bio, Antarka, APEXzymes authors), found via Europe PMC / Google Scholar, digested with P11 (75 min). Background first: Crash Course Biology "Old & Odd: Archaea, Bacteria & Protists" (#35, YouTube, 12 min)

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

Thursday 1 · 60 min total

2/10 Watch 60 min W18 Thursday AI & stats

Simon Peyton Jones, "How to write a great research paper"

Simon Peyton Jones, "How to write a great research paper" (YouTube, Microsoft Research, ~1 h) + NeurIPS Paper Checklist (neurips.cc, current year's author guidelines) (30 min)

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

Saturday · sandbox, optional 4 · 105 min total

3/10 Read 30 min? W18 Saturday Sandbox optional

Coursera Writing in the Sciences (Stanford), module "Writing the results and discussion"

Saturday sandbox

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

4/10 Read 30 min? W18 Saturday Sandbox optional

Kapoor & Narayanan

Saturday sandbox · after Coursera Writing in the Sciences (Stanford), module "Writing the results and discussion"

Kapoor & Narayanan (2023) leakage paper (carry over) — use its checklist on Paper 2's Methods

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

5/10 Read 30 min? W18 Saturday Sandbox optional

Rothschild & Mancinelli (2001), "Life in extreme environments"

Saturday sandbox · after Kapoor & Narayanan

Rothschild & Mancinelli (2001), "Life in extreme environments", Nature 409:1092-1101 — the classic review of extremophiles

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

6/10 Watch 15 min? W18 Saturday Sandbox optional

Stanford CS197, lecture on "writing the paper"

Saturday sandbox · after Rothschild & Mancinelli (2001), "Life in extreme environments"

Stanford CS197, lecture on "writing the paper" (verify title)

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

Any block this week — the plan names no day 4 · 120 min total

7/10 Run 30 min W18 Build

quarto-dev/quarto-cli

Paper 2 manuscript project; cross-references for figures and equations

Open ↗

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

8/10 Run 30 min W18 Build

lukasmasuch/best-of-ml-python

Check the "interpretability" and "time series" sections for any widely used soft-sensor baseline you forgot to cite

Open ↗

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

9/10 Run 30 min W18 Build

google-research/tuning_playbook

Re-read "scientific vs nuisance hyperparameters" and write two sentences in Methods on how you tuned fairly across arms

Open ↗

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

10/10 Run 30 min W18 Build

paper-2-hybrid-softsensor (your repo)

Clean clone → make figs → compare hashes with your local figures

Find it ↗ search

In: LABLOOP-W18 Notebook

01

READ FIRST

Outcome and relevance

This week delivers the three concrete artifacts below and the supporting learning/branding/opportunity pack. The scientific or commercial outcome follows the preserved source brief, while the acceptance checks make its evidence testable. The career objective is to turn this work into something a scientist, hiring manager or buyer can inspect.

  • Scientific/build priority: Write problem, prior hybrid/soft-sensor benchmarks and the exact contribution with verified references.
  • Public/profile priority: Prepare Medium deep dive 4 and an accessible answer to when mechanistic knowledge helps.
  • Career/relationship/commercial priority: Digest two extremophile founder papers, verify author-company affiliation and prepare three potential partner profiles.
02

READ FIRST

Deeper walkthrough (v6)

Read v6 · Week 18 · Write Paper 2 before Monday. It carries this week's v5 brief unchanged and adds the Welcome analogy, Learn it (▶ core and + deeper sources), Run it (repos with a 20-40 minute exercise), the NotebookLM kit and the mentor check below. Standing v6 rules: resource rules, NotebookLM protocol, chapter anatomy. v6 adds depth only; it does not change a goal, gate, output or the 600-minute cap, so this specification still governs execution.

Act IV · Threads: B, M, BL, R · Next gate: 20

Where this week sits. - ← From: week 17 experiments and figures; week 14-15 writing process. - → Feeds: week 19 (review), week 20 (submission), week 21 (the extremophile papers become partner-call preparation), week 36 (journal version). - ⟳ Returns in: Medium deep dive M4 and the week 38 talk.

Goals. - 🎯 This week: Paper 2 full draft (Intro, Related work, Methods, Results, Limitations, Reproducibility statement); M4 deep dive; two founder-paper digests with outreach lines. - 🏁 Next milestone: Gate 20. - 🌟 Final: your second preprint, and the start of the partner conversations that make Paper 3 possible.

Mentor check. "My Paper 2 draft makes one strong, bounded claim and lists its limitations before a reviewer does."

03

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Required inputs and dependency check

04

READ FIRST

Learning specification

Biology/domain unit

Source unit: B18 · Extremophiles

Material: Two founder papers (Puna Bio, Antarka, APEXzymes authors) via Prompt P11

Produce: Outreach lines drafted

Understanding check: You can name the organisms and enzymes they work with

During preparation, write one worked example connected to the week's actual task, one exercise with a separate answer key and five questions. Peter supplies answers; score explanation quality and flag misconceptions in QUESTIONS. Numeric/scientific conclusions require actual data or explicitly synthetic teaching values.

AI/scientific-method unit

Source unit: M18 · Research craft

Material: Simon Peyton Jones, "How to write a great research paper" (YouTube, 1 h); NeurIPS paper checklist (neurips.cc)

Produce: Paper 2 rewritten with the checklist

Understanding check: Reviewer-2 prompt finds no unsupported claim

Use the prompt pack: P1 explanation ladder, P2 concept-to-project bridge and P3 quiz. Coding practice belongs within the allocated study/build block. Where the source asks for a favorable scientific result, substitute an honest measured comparison as explained below.

Founder/scientist paper

Select one verified founder/scientific-lead paper relevant to this week's domain. Use P11; save the question, method, numerical result with context, data workflow, three author questions and one connection sentence in founder-paper.md. Keep abstract-only access limitations explicit. On source weeks with no study, prioritize the commercial/submission task and log any skipped digest.

05

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Branding and opportunity execution brief

Branding: Prepare Medium deep dive 4 and an accessible answer to when mechanistic knowledge helps.

Opportunity action: Digest two extremophile founder papers, verify author-company affiliation and prepare three potential partner profiles.

Use career asset contracts. Publish at most the agreed cadence; one figure and one supported number or admitted failure can support multiple drafts. In long-form weeks, prepare a 1,500–2,500-word article from existing evidence within the build/buffer allocation. In release/demo weeks, prepare a 60-second script: problem, input, command/action, result, limitation and proof link.

Verify individuals, jobs and affiliations at execution time. The GridX list and v4 company map are research seeds, not current facts. Do not reveal named company weaknesses or employer/client confidential information. Keep drafted/sent/replied/booked/held statuses separate. The planning request alone does not authorize external messages or publication; honor explicit authorization in the execution session.

06

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Quality risks and week-specific constraints

Do not generalize one simulated process to production performance or industrial savings. Main narrative follows measured learning curves.

Apply the root scientific evidence contract: provenance; meaningful independent splits; no future-data leakage; baseline comparison; actual denominators/uncertainty; failed cases; human review where required. State whether data are simulated, public experimental, synthetic or partner-provided.

Keep source gates intact, and log scope/time conflicts in review. Missing people, money, access or results must not be replaced with invented evidence. Reduce optional polish first. A specific essential external dependency stays pending while independent preparation continues.

07

READ FIRST

Completion and gate review

This is an enabling week. Its deliverables feed the next scheduled gate: 20. Complete the acceptance checklist below; do not promote reputation from a draft.

  • Monday artifact satisfies: The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark.
  • Wednesday artifact satisfies: Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results.
  • Friday artifact satisfies: Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete.
  • Study pack is prepared; Peter's actual learning/quiz result is recorded separately.
  • Branding and opportunity drafts use supported claims and the correct external-action state.
  • Reproduction or document checks are recorded with file/version references.
  • This week's special gate, if any, has real evidence or remains explicitly pending.
  • Review, root progress/log and the next physical action are updated.
08

READ FIRST

Minimum viable week and recovery

Source-preserving minimum: Results section.

Operational first step if stalled: open paper-2-introduction.md, write the required inputs and produce the smallest checkable example in ten minutes. If a more urgent missing gate dependency controls the week, use the source minimum above.

If the full week does not fit, use P14: retain one gate-critical deliverable and one directly supporting study exercise; record what is skipped versus moved. Do not mark the original full gate passed merely because the minimum was completed. After a missed week, reforecast from actual evidence and avoid a second unexamined lost week.

09

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Handoff to the next model

In review, state exactly what exists, what was verified, what Peter can now explain, which external events remain pending, where the canonical code/data live, and the next file/function or draft paragraph to touch. Link each fact to evidence. Carry scientific assumptions, split definitions and rights constraints forward explicitly.

10

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Ready-to-copy model prompt

Prepare Week 18 of this LABLOOP execution plan.
Read execution-plan/specs.md, execution-plan/DECISIONS.md,
execution-plan/GATES.md and
execution-plan/weeks/week-18-paper-2-full-draft/specs.md, commitment.md, evidence.md and review.md.
Read prior prerequisite reviews and inspect actual repository/data state.
Use v5 as the governing sequence, the v6 Week 18 chapter
(LABLOOP-Master-Plan-v6.md) as the deeper walkthrough, and v4 only for
retained details.
Produce the full local preparation pack and the exact week-specific files named
in the artifact table. Give me a bounded lesson with exercises/answer key,
daily physical actions, technical runbook or draft, branding drafts and
career/commercial actions. Keep the total to 600 minutes.
Separate prepared artifacts from measured results and my learning completion.
Verify sources and do not invent metrics, citations, papers, people or outcomes.
Do not execute external communications, publication or spending unless the
current session already authorizes the specific action.
Finish by updating evidence/review and TODAY with the next physical action.
11

OPEN WHEN NEEDED

Preserved original v5 weekly brief

v6 reproduces this brief unchanged inside v6 · Week 18 · Write Paper 2. The following is source planning text, not a claim of completion. Apply the explicit evidence corrections in this specification and DECISIONS.md.

Week 18 · Write Paper 2

  • Goal: full draft.
  • Tue (B18): two extremophile founder papers; outreach lines.
  • Thu (M18): Peyton Jones talk + NeurIPS checklist; rewrite.
  • Build: Mon: Intro + Related work (hybrid modeling, soft sensors, IndPenSim benchmarks; all verified). Wed: Methods + Results. Fri: Limitations (simulated data, one process, no real plant), Reproducibility statement.
  • Sun: M4 deep dive: "When does biology help the model? A data-scarcity study on 100 open batches". L-Sun.
  • Only one thing: Results section.
📄

WEEK FILES

Commitment · evidence · review

commitment.md open ↗

State: UNCONFIRMED. Owner: Peter Ciancaglini. Specification

Start date: not set. End date: not set. Available hours: confirm (planned ceiling 10). Primary outcome: paper 2 full draft. Minimum that keeps the next gate alive: Results section.

Deliverables to commit

  • ☐ paper-2-introduction.md: The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark.
  • ☐ paper-2-methods-results.md: Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results.
  • ☐ paper-2-review-package.md: Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete.
  • ☐ Bounded learning exercise and personal teach-back.
  • ☐ Evidence-backed branding and opportunity pack.
  • ☐ Sunday review and next physical action.

Proposed calendar

Day Minutes Physical action / outcome Actual slot Done
Mon 90 Write problem, prior hybrid/soft-sensor benchmarks and the exact contribution with verified references. Not set ☐
Tue 90 Outreach lines drafted Not set ☐
Wed 90 Write methods and results from the frozen experiment matrix including null or adverse comparisons. Last ten minutes: optional note. Not set ☐
Thu 90 Paper 2 rewritten with the checklist Include relevant founder-paper work within this block. Not set ☐
Fri 90 Write limitations and reproducibility statement; apply the research checklist and schedule the human review. Not set ☐
Sat 90 Resolve critical spillover; long-form draft if due; sandbox only if done. Not set ☐
Sun 60 Build log, evidence, gap review, next actions. Not set ☐

Dependency and capacity check

  • Missing essential inputs: not yet inspected.
  • Human/external dependency, owner and expected date: not yet inspected.
  • Week-specific constraint: Do not generalize one simulated process to production performance or industrial savings. Main narrative follows measured learning curves.
  • Existing session authorization for external actions or spending: not assessed; local planning only at scaffold creation.
  • Scope to cut first: optional polish/additional examples; preserve scientific validity.
  • If the forecast exceeds available time: record a concrete reduced scope or revised delivery proposal before committing.

Peter's commitment / adjustments: pending. Reviewing model and date: pending.

evidence.md open ↗

Execution state: NOT_STARTED. Specification This file is a blank register with planned artifact names; none of the rows prove completion.

Item Path / URL / version State Verification / actual result Verified by / date
paper-2-introduction.md Not created NOT_STARTED Pending: The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark. —
paper-2-methods-results.md Not created NOT_STARTED Pending: Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results. —
paper-2-review-package.md Not created NOT_STARTED Pending: Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete. —
Learning exercise / Peter's quiz Not created NOT_STARTED Peter's actual answers required —
Founder paper digest Not created NOT_STARTED Source/content and access checked —
Branding pack Not created NOT_STARTED Claims audited; drafted/public status distinct —
Opportunity actions Not created NOT_STARTED Drafted/sent/replied/booked/held distinct —

Reproduction and scientific measurements

Question / metric Dataset, N and unit Split / seed / config Command or verification method Output path and measured value Uncertainty / limitation

External events, when authorized and actually performed

Date Action / counterpart Receipt or private reference State Next action / date

Actual learning and decisions

Peter's teach-back / quiz score: not assessed. Scientific assumptions and deviations: none recorded yet. Budget allocated / spent: not assessed / no spend recorded. Missing evidence and responsible owner: pending inspection.

Do not put API keys, source full texts with restricted rights, client data or invoice personal details in a public version of this register. Keep private evidence references private.

review.md open ↗

Review status: NOT_REVIEWED. Specification · Evidence

What was actually completed?

  • ☐ The scope is one simulated bioprocess benchmark. Evidence: pending.
  • ☐ Plots, tables and numerical claims match machine-readable results. Evidence: pending.
  • ☐ Missing experiments or assumptions are disclosed and review questions are concrete. Evidence: pending.
  • ☐ Learning assessed from Peter's actual answers. Evidence: pending.
  • ☐ Branding/opportunity states recorded correctly. Evidence: pending.

Learning and outcome

What Peter can explain or reproduce now: not assessed. Quiz / teach-back gaps: not assessed. Measured result and limitations: pending. Best evidence link for a scientist/recruiter/buyer: pending. What failed or changed, and why: pending.

Gate and capacity

Gate requirement: No standalone gate; check this week's acceptance criteria and next gate dependencies. Gate status: NOT_STARTED. Original target week: See next gate in specs. Actual completion date / forecast: not set. Missing external evidence: pending inspection. Blocks completed / 7: not recorded. Days with commits / 7: not recorded. Sunday build log / optional Wednesday note: not recorded. Founder conversations cumulative: not recorded. Earned evidence level and proof: not assessed. Consecutive lost weeks: not assessed.

Week-specific risk to revisit: Do not generalize one simulated process to production performance or industrial savings. Main narrative follows measured learning curves.

Decision and next-model handoff

Continue / recover / blocked: not decided. Retain as the minimum: Results section. Skipped permanently with reason: none recorded. Carryover with owner, dependency and target week: none recorded. Canonical repository paths and versions: pending. Data permissions, split definitions or assumptions to preserve: pending. External action authorization that still applies: not assessed. Next physical action, exact file/function/paragraph: pending. Updates to root PROGRESS / LOG / TODAY completed: ☐

Next week

✎

YOUR SPACE

Notes, links & media

Quick log

    Notes markdown

    Links

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    ⏱ Focus Focus25:00 0 min today