Read the week in plain language, refresh the foundations, follow each challenge step by step, and check what evidence to keep. Includes worked examples, answer keys and prompts for visual study resources.
Prepare three endorsement/collaboration routes with verified category eligibility, paper summaries and the best available evidence link. Acceptance: Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed.
Fit a mechanistic baseline and residual GBM using training data and information available at prediction time; compare on ten training batches. Acceptance: Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit.
experiment-matrix.csv Build
Build the 5/10/20/50-batch, five-seed learning-curve harness with fixed held-out groups and feasible data counts. Acceptance: A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17.
Checklist, learning assessment, gate status, shortfalls, next actions and carryover
Notes on artifact states
These filenames are outputs to prepare during this week's execution; this scaffold does not claim they already exist. Drafts and measured results have different states. Technical code/data stay in the canonical project repository and are referenced from these coordinating files.
During preparation, future measured tables get column definitions, input requirements and run instructions with PENDING status. During execution, replace pending values only with measured outputs. Do not create realistic-looking fake evidence.
▦
600 MINUTES MAXIMUM
Seven-day plan
Monday90 min· 1 card, 30 min
Target. Prepare three endorsement/collaboration routes with verified category eligibility, paper summaries and the best available evidence link. Stop when: Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed.
Target. Fit a mechanistic baseline and residual GBM using training data and information available at prediction time; compare on ten training batches. Stop when: Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit. Reserve the last 10 minutes for the optional Wednesday note.
Target. Brunton & Kutz, *Data-Driven Science and Engineering*, ch. 7 (SINDy) — databookuw.com (free PDF + YouTube "Steve Brunton") Select material/exercise that fits 60 minutes; use the last 30 for the founder paper.
Target. Build the 5/10/20/50-batch, five-seed learning-curve harness with fixed held-out groups and feasible data counts. Stop when: A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17.
Target. Resolve the earliest critical spillover or dependency. Prepare any long-form publication draft from existing figures here if needed. Sandbox only after commitments are met.
Target. 20 min build-log draft/publication when authorized; 5 min evidence/checklist; 20 min source-grounded gap review; 15 min next week's six physical actions.
Block ritual: read your next action → start the 90-min timer → open one file. Close: write tomorrow's action and one log line.
Feels pointless? Does today's Done when need it? No → skip it and log it. Yes → let AI do the boring part, you review. Still stuck → the smallest version in 25 minutes. Pulled into a rabbit hole? Write it in Parked thoughts and save it for Saturday.
The model must turn these into exact physical actions using the observed files and available inputs. Each 90-minute block includes start/stop rituals. All calls, posts, debugging, reading and exercises consume this same capacity.
The source lists more material than necessarily fits. Select exact excerpts for the learning objective and park the remainder; no full-course completion requirement.
◎
WHAT TO WATCH, READ AND RUN
Materials for this week
Two stories this week, one social and one technical, and they are the same story. The social one: arXiv, the main preprint server for ML, asks newcomers to be vouched for by someone already publishing there, like a private club where a member must sign your application. You open three routes at once (a founder, a cited author, a local academic), because one route is a hope and three are a plan. The technical one: yo…
In the plan's running order: each card says which block it belongs to and what has to come
before it. The seven-day plan lists the same cards under the day that owns them.
FDA (2004) PAT — A Framework for Innovative Pharmaceutical Development, Manufacturing, and Quality Assurance — fda.gov/media/71012/download (read sections I-IV, 45 min)
This week delivers the three concrete artifacts below and the supporting learning/branding/opportunity pack. The scientific or commercial outcome follows the preserved source brief, while the acceptance checks make its evidence testable. The career objective is to turn this work into something a scientist, hiring manager or buyer can inspect.
Scientific/build priority: Prepare three endorsement/collaboration routes with verified category eligibility, paper summaries and the best available evidence link.
Public/profile priority: Prepare a preliminary hybrid comparison with no assumed winner.
Career/relationship/commercial priority: Open the founder, cited-author and local-academic endorsement routes; use the dataset/report while Paper 1 is still a draft.
02
READ FIRST
Deeper walkthrough (v6)
Read v6 · Week 12 · Endorsement route opens; hybrid model v0 before Monday. It carries this week's v5 brief unchanged and adds the Welcome analogy, Learn it (▶ core and + deeper sources), Run it (repos with a 20-40 minute exercise), the NotebookLM kit and the mentor check below. Standing v6 rules: resource rules, NotebookLM protocol, chapter anatomy. v6 adds depth only; it does not change a goal, gate, output or the 600-minute cap, so this specification still governs execution.
Act III · Threads: B, M, BL, R · Next gate: 13
Where this week sits.
- ← From: week 1 Monod simulator (the engineer), week 8 LightGBM soft sensor (the analyst), week 4 batch-wise CV, week 8 technical report (proof of seriousness for endorsers).
- → Feeds: week 17 (full learning-curve experiment), week 18 (Paper 2 draft), weeks 19-20 (endorsement closes), week 27 (pharma vocabulary in the Loop Audit offer).
- ⟳ Returns in: Paper 2's central figure; the Part 9.5 routes.
Goals.
- 🎯 This week: three endorsement messages sent; hybrid model v0 compared to pure GBM on 10 batches; learning-curve harness plots for 5/10/20/50 batches × 5 seeds.
- 🏁 Next milestone: Gate 13 (one endorsement conversation alive).
- 🌟 Final: endorsed arXiv preprint (wk 20) and the question "when does biology help the model?" answered with numbers.
Mentor check."I can draw the hybrid architecture on a napkin, say what PAT means to a QA manager, and name my three endorsement routes."
03
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Required inputs and dependency check
Week 08: inspect its actual evidence and review; source/code artifacts must exist before the dependent task begins.
Week 10: inspect its actual evidence and review; source/code artifacts must exist before the dependent task begins.
Week 11: inspect its actual evidence and review; source/code artifacts must exist before the dependent task begins.
Inspect the actual canonical repository state, available data, existing figures and required human/external inputs. Never assume a previous week succeeded from its folder name.
Verify current resource links, versions, dataset rights and any live company/venue information before relying on them. Use source catalog; explicitly record inaccessible resources.
04
READ FIRST
Learning specification
Biology/domain unit
Source unit: B12 · Downstream, PAT and QbD
Material: FDA PAT guidance (2004) — fda.gov; ICH Q8(R2) sections 1-2 — ich.org
Produce: Glossary: CPP, CQA, design space, golden batch, in your words
Understanding check: You can hold a conversation with a pharma QA manager
During preparation, write one worked example connected to the week's actual task, one exercise with a separate answer key and five questions. Peter supplies answers; score explanation quality and flag misconceptions in QUESTIONS. Numeric/scientific conclusions require actual data or explicitly synthetic teaching values.
AI/scientific-method unit
Source unit: M12 · Data-driven dynamics
Material: Brunton & Kutz, Data-Driven Science and Engineering, ch. 7 (SINDy) — databookuw.com (free PDF + YouTube "Steve Brunton")
Produce: SINDy recovers Monod from simulator data
Understanding check: You can say what "system identification" is
Use the prompt pack: P1 explanation ladder, P2 concept-to-project bridge and P3 quiz. Coding practice belongs within the allocated study/build block. Where the source asks for a favorable scientific result, substitute an honest measured comparison as explained below.
Founder/scientist paper
Select one verified founder/scientific-lead paper relevant to this week's domain. Use P11; save the question, method, numerical result with context, data workflow, three author questions and one connection sentence in founder-paper.md. Keep abstract-only access limitations explicit. On source weeks with no study, prioritize the commercial/submission task and log any skipped digest.
05
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Branding and opportunity execution brief
Branding: Prepare a preliminary hybrid comparison with no assumed winner.
Opportunity action: Open the founder, cited-author and local-academic endorsement routes; use the dataset/report while Paper 1 is still a draft.
Use career asset contracts. Publish at most the agreed cadence; one figure and one supported number or admitted failure can support multiple drafts. In long-form weeks, prepare a 1,500–2,500-word article from existing evidence within the build/buffer allocation. In release/demo weeks, prepare a 60-second script: problem, input, command/action, result, limitation and proof link.
Verify individuals, jobs and affiliations at execution time. The GridX list and v4 company map are research seeds, not current facts. Do not reveal named company weaknesses or employer/client confidential information. Keep drafted/sent/replied/booked/held statuses separate. The planning request alone does not authorize external messages or publication; honor explicit authorization in the execution session.
06
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Quality risks and week-specific constraints
Fitting mechanistic parameters to a full held-out trajectory leaks future labels. SINDy needs an appropriate function library and identifiability check; recovering exact Monod kinetics is an experiment, not a guaranteed study outcome.
Apply the root scientific evidence contract: provenance; meaningful independent splits; no future-data leakage; baseline comparison; actual denominators/uncertainty; failed cases; human review where required. State whether data are simulated, public experimental, synthetic or partner-provided.
Keep source gates intact, and log scope/time conflicts in review. Missing people, money, access or results must not be replaced with invented evidence. Reduce optional polish first. A specific essential external dependency stays pending while independent preparation continues.
07
READ FIRST
Completion and gate review
This is an enabling week. Its deliverables feed the next scheduled gate: 13. Complete the acceptance checklist below; do not promote reputation from a draft.
Monday artifact satisfies: Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed.
Wednesday artifact satisfies: Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit.
Friday artifact satisfies: A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17.
Study pack is prepared; Peter's actual learning/quiz result is recorded separately.
Branding and opportunity drafts use supported claims and the correct external-action state.
Reproduction or document checks are recorded with file/version references.
This week's special gate, if any, has real evidence or remains explicitly pending.
Review, root progress/log and the next physical action are updated.
08
READ FIRST
Minimum viable week and recovery
Source-preserving minimum: the three endorsement messages.
Operational first step if stalled: open endorsement-route.md, write the required inputs and produce the smallest checkable example in ten minutes. If a more urgent missing gate dependency controls the week, use the source minimum above.
If the full week does not fit, use P14: retain one gate-critical deliverable and one directly supporting study exercise; record what is skipped versus moved. Do not mark the original full gate passed merely because the minimum was completed. After a missed week, reforecast from actual evidence and avoid a second unexamined lost week.
09
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Handoff to the next model
In review, state exactly what exists, what was verified, what Peter can now explain, which external events remain pending, where the canonical code/data live, and the next file/function or draft paragraph to touch. Link each fact to evidence. Carry scientific assumptions, split definitions and rights constraints forward explicitly.
10
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Ready-to-copy model prompt
Prepare Week 12 of this LABLOOP execution plan.
Read execution-plan/specs.md, execution-plan/DECISIONS.md,
execution-plan/GATES.md and
execution-plan/weeks/week-12-endorsement-and-hybrid-model/specs.md, commitment.md, evidence.md and review.md.
Read prior prerequisite reviews and inspect actual repository/data state.
Use v5 as the governing sequence, the v6 Week 12 chapter
(LABLOOP-Master-Plan-v6.md) as the deeper walkthrough, and v4 only for
retained details.
Produce the full local preparation pack and the exact week-specific files named
in the artifact table. Give me a bounded lesson with exercises/answer key,
daily physical actions, technical runbook or draft, branding drafts and
career/commercial actions. Keep the total to 600 minutes.
Separate prepared artifacts from measured results and my learning completion.
Verify sources and do not invent metrics, citations, papers, people or outcomes.
Do not execute external communications, publication or spending unless the
current session already authorizes the specific action.
Finish by updating evidence/review and TODAY with the next physical action.
11
OPEN WHEN NEEDED
Preserved original v5 weekly brief
v6 reproduces this brief unchanged inside v6 · Week 12 · Endorsement route opens; hybrid model v0.
The following is source planning text, not a claim of completion. Apply the explicit evidence corrections in this specification and DECISIONS.md.
Week 12 · Endorsement route opens; hybrid model v0
Goal: three routes to an arXiv endorser started; first hybrid model.
Build: Mon: Part 9.5 routes: (1) message the two most-engaged founders from week 8 with the FermLit completeness figure and ask whether they would co-author or endorse; (2) email two authors you cite heavily (Prompt P13); (3) list three local academics (UBA, UNSAM, Leloir) who publish on arXiv q-bio. Done when three messages are sent. Wed: batchlens/hybrid/: Monod ODE with parameters fitted per batch + GBM on the residual; compare to pure GBM on 10 batches. Fri: learning-curve harness: train on 5, 10, 20, 50 batches, test on held-out normal and faulty batches, 5 seeds. Done when the curve plots.
Sun: L-Sun: "Does knowing the biology help the model? Hybrid vs pure ML at 5, 10, 20, 50 batches (first look)". L-Wed.
State: UNCONFIRMED. Owner: Peter Ciancaglini. Specification
Start date: not set. End date: not set. Available hours: confirm (planned ceiling 10).
Primary outcome: endorsement and hybrid model.
Minimum that keeps the next gate alive: the three endorsement messages.
Deliverables to commit
☐ endorsement-route.md: Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed.
☐ hybrid-design.md: Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit.
☐ experiment-matrix.csv: A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17.
☐ Bounded learning exercise and personal teach-back.
☐ Evidence-backed branding and opportunity pack.
☐ Sunday review and next physical action.
Proposed calendar
Day
Minutes
Physical action / outcome
Actual slot
Done
Mon
90
Prepare three endorsement/collaboration routes with verified category eligibility, paper summaries and the best available evidence link.
Not set
☐
Tue
90
Glossary: CPP, CQA, design space, golden batch, in your words
Not set
☐
Wed
90
Fit a mechanistic baseline and residual GBM using training data and information available at prediction time; compare on ten training batches. Last ten minutes: optional note.
Not set
☐
Thu
90
SINDy recovers Monod from simulator data Include relevant founder-paper work within this block.
Not set
☐
Fri
90
Build the 5/10/20/50-batch, five-seed learning-curve harness with fixed held-out groups and feasible data counts.
Not set
☐
Sat
90
Resolve critical spillover; long-form draft if due; sandbox only if done.
Not set
☐
Sun
60
Build log, evidence, gap review, next actions.
Not set
☐
Dependency and capacity check
Missing essential inputs: not yet inspected.
Human/external dependency, owner and expected date: not yet inspected.
Week-specific constraint: Fitting mechanistic parameters to a full held-out trajectory leaks future labels. SINDy needs an appropriate function library and identifiability check; recovering exact Monod kinetics is an experiment, not a guaranteed study outcome.
Existing session authorization for external actions or spending: not assessed; local planning only at scaffold creation.
Scope to cut first: optional polish/additional examples; preserve scientific validity.
If the forecast exceeds available time: record a concrete reduced scope or revised delivery proposal before committing.
Peter's commitment / adjustments: pending.
Reviewing model and date: pending.
Execution state: NOT_STARTED. Specification
This file is a blank register with planned artifact names; none of the rows prove completion.
Item
Path / URL / version
State
Verification / actual result
Verified by / date
endorsement-route.md
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Pending: Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed.
—
hybrid-design.md
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Pending: Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit.
—
experiment-matrix.csv
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Pending: A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17.
—
Learning exercise / Peter's quiz
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Peter's actual answers required
—
Founder paper digest
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Source/content and access checked
—
Branding pack
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Claims audited; drafted/public status distinct
—
Opportunity actions
Not created
NOT_STARTED
Drafted/sent/replied/booked/held distinct
—
Reproduction and scientific measurements
Question / metric
Dataset, N and unit
Split / seed / config
Command or verification method
Output path and measured value
Uncertainty / limitation
External events, when authorized and actually performed
Date
Action / counterpart
Receipt or private reference
State
Next action / date
Actual learning and decisions
Peter's teach-back / quiz score: not assessed.
Scientific assumptions and deviations: none recorded yet.
Budget allocated / spent: not assessed / no spend recorded.
Missing evidence and responsible owner: pending inspection.
Do not put API keys, source full texts with restricted rights, client data or invoice personal details in a public version of this register. Keep private evidence references private.
☐ Three specific messages are ready; record actual sending and replies only if performed. Evidence: pending.
☐ Mechanistic, pure ML and hybrid feature/target definitions are explicit. Evidence: pending.
☐ A smoke run validates split isolation; full results may finish in week 17. Evidence: pending.
☐ Learning assessed from Peter's actual answers. Evidence: pending.
☐ Branding/opportunity states recorded correctly. Evidence: pending.
Learning and outcome
What Peter can explain or reproduce now: not assessed.
Quiz / teach-back gaps: not assessed.
Measured result and limitations: pending.
Best evidence link for a scientist/recruiter/buyer: pending.
What failed or changed, and why: pending.
Gate and capacity
Gate requirement: No standalone gate; check this week's acceptance criteria and next gate dependencies.
Gate status: NOT_STARTED.
Original target week: See next gate in specs.
Actual completion date / forecast: not set.
Missing external evidence: pending inspection.
Blocks completed / 7: not recorded.
Days with commits / 7: not recorded.
Sunday build log / optional Wednesday note: not recorded.
Founder conversations cumulative: not recorded.
Earned evidence level and proof: not assessed.
Consecutive lost weeks: not assessed.
Week-specific risk to revisit: Fitting mechanistic parameters to a full held-out trajectory leaks future labels. SINDy needs an appropriate function library and identifiability check; recovering exact Monod kinetics is an experiment, not a guaranteed study outcome.
Decision and next-model handoff
Continue / recover / blocked: not decided.
Retain as the minimum: the three endorsement messages.
Skipped permanently with reason: none recorded.
Carryover with owner, dependency and target week: none recorded.
Canonical repository paths and versions: pending.
Data permissions, split definitions or assumptions to preserve: pending.
External action authorization that still applies: not assessed.
Next physical action, exact file/function/paragraph: pending.
Updates to root PROGRESS / LOG / TODAY completed: ☐