Cunningham, Causal Inference: The Mixtape
Saturday sandbox
Cunningham, Causal Inference: The Mixtape — mixtape.scunning.com, ch. 3 (directed acyclic graphs)
In: LABLOOP-W22 Notebook
WEEK 25 · INSTRUMENT 2 TRIALKIT (FIELD MODULE)
Do one thing.
Then you are ahead.
Picture an agronomist with 40 spreadsheets from three seasons of field trials, each formatted by a different intern, and an investor asking "does your biological product actually increase yield, and by how much?". The honest answer requires a design (which plots got which treatment, in which block), a statistical model that respects that design, and an interval. Most startups answer with an average and a hopeful cha…
If you only do one thing this week: one published trial reproduced with an interval
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THE NEXT BLOCK
How long have you got?
By Sunday you should be able to say: “I can take a messy field trial and say the treatment effect with an interval that respects the design.”
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