A clinical trial is not "we gave the drug to some people and they felt better". It is arms, doses, randomisation, repeats, and a pre-declared outcome. This week Paper 2 becomes a proper trial. Three arms (mechanistic, pure ML, hybrid), four "doses" of data (5, 10, 20, 50 batches), five seeds each so luck cannot fake a result, conformal intervals so every number carries its honest uncertainty, and a stress test on fa…
If you only do one thing this week: the learning curves with seeds
Yang, Wu & Arnold (2019), "Machine-learning-guided directed evolution for protein engineering"
Saturday sandbox
Yang, Wu & Arnold (2019), "Machine-learning-guided directed evolution for protein engineering", Nature Methods 16:687-694. The classic review; read it before week 21
By Sunday you should be able to say: “I can show the learning curve and say, with an interval, below how many batches the hybrid model is the better bet.”