A clinical trial is not "we gave the drug to some people and they felt better". It is arms, doses, randomisation, repeats, and a pre-declared outcome. This week Paper 2 becomes a proper trial. Three arms (mechanistic, pure ML, hybrid), four "doses" of data (5, 10, 20, 50 batches), five seeds each so luck cannot fake a result, conformal intervals so every number carries its honest uncertainty, and a stress test on fa…
If you only do one thing this week: the learning curves with seeds
Rives et al. (2021), "Biological structure and function emerge from scaling unsupervised learnin…
Saturday sandbox
Rives et al. (2021), "Biological structure and function emerge from scaling unsupervised learning to 250 million protein sequences", PNAS 118(15) — the ESM-1b paper, for the "why it works" story
By Sunday you should be able to say: “I can show the learning curve and say, with an interval, below how many batches the hybrid model is the better bet.”