# Week 03 commitment

State: UNCONFIRMED. Owner: Peter Ciancaglini. [Specification](./specs.md)

Start date: not set. End date: not set. Available hours: confirm (planned ceiling 10).
Primary outcome: statistical batch monitoring.
Minimum that keeps the next gate alive: T² limits computed.

## Deliverables to commit

- [ ] `monitoring-protocol.md`: Limit estimator, sample support and nominal alarm policy are reproducible.
- [ ] `alarm-examples.csv`: Event timing and undetected cases are retained; no cherry-picked pass rule.
- [ ] `verification-report.md`: The smoke run works without network or credentials and numerical invariants are checked.
- [ ] Bounded learning exercise and personal teach-back.
- [ ] Evidence-backed branding and opportunity pack.
- [ ] Sunday review and next physical action.

## Proposed calendar

| Day | Minutes | Physical action / outcome | Actual slot | Done |
|---|---:|---|---|---|
| Mon | 90 | Estimate PCA Hotelling T2 and SPE control limits using only training/calibration normal batches; choose alarm persistence before evaluating faults. | Not set | [ ] |
| Tue | 90 | Notes + the growth curve drawn by hand with lag, log, stationary, death | Not set | [ ] |
| Wed | 90 | Implement batch replay with timestamped alarms and compare normal/fault cases selected independently of results. Last ten minutes: optional note. | Not set | [ ] |
| Thu | 90 | Lab 3 redone on IndPenSim variables Include relevant founder-paper work within this block. | Not set | [ ] |
| Fri | 90 | Check leakage, missing channels and fake-data reproducibility; prepare a one-command monitoring report. | Not set | [ ] |
| Sat | 90 | Resolve critical spillover; long-form draft if due; sandbox only if done. | Not set | [ ] |
| Sun | 60 | Build log, evidence, gap review, next actions. | Not set | [ ] |

## Dependency and capacity check

- Missing essential inputs: not yet inspected.
- Human/external dependency, owner and expected date: not yet inspected.
- Week-specific constraint: Unfolding a whole batch can leak the future into early warning. Require causal feature availability for every alarm timestamp.
- Existing session authorization for external actions or spending: not assessed; local planning only at scaffold creation.
- Scope to cut first: optional polish/additional examples; preserve scientific validity.
- If the forecast exceeds available time: record a concrete reduced scope or revised delivery proposal before committing.

Peter's commitment / adjustments: pending.
Reviewing model and date: pending.